Nate Soares
President of MIRI; co-author of 'If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies'
Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)
Safety researchers
Soares runs MIRI, the oldest AI-safety organisation, which in 2023 gave up on solving alignment in time and pivoted to warning the public. He puts the chance of human extinction from AI above 95% and wants an international ban on building superintelligence.
Their number
95–100%
Probability of humanity's demise from AI is "at least 95%" (interview with The Times, reported by TASS, August 1, 2025); elsewhere reported as 'above 95 percent'.Source
On timing
Describes the situation as a car speeding toward a cliff; the book argues superhuman AI "would very likely result in human extinction" and that intervention is needed before it is built (2025).
SourceWhat they call for
- Global ban / halt on development of superintelligence
- International treaty with compute controls
- Narrow AI exceptions (e.g. AlphaFold style tools)
In their own words
Advocates "a global ban on advanced AI research": "Once that comes into existence, it will be impossible to control." (Politico)
1 October 2025
Book released: 'If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All'.
16 September 2025
On the FLI Statement on Superintelligence: he 'would have written a different statement' but supports it to avoid 'the narcissism of small differences'.
22 October 2025
Signed
- FLI Statement on Superintelligence 2025 (endorsed)